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GOLD


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Market Comment – Dollar slides on jobs data, Euro dips on French gridlock

US jobs data confirms bets of two Fed rate cuts Dollar slides ahead of Powell testimony, US CPI numbers Euro gaps down as French election results in hung parliament Wall Street at fresh records, gold jumps, oil pulls back US labor market shows signs of weakness The US dollar fell against all but one of its major counterparts on Friday, with the only exception being the Canadian dollar.
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Technical Analysis – Gold lacks clear direction in short term

Gold slows pace after rebound off neckline RSI and stochastics look overstretched Gold prices jumped higher, meeting the restrictive region of 2,370–2,390, which is also acting as the right shoulder pattern in the short-term picture. However, the technical oscillators and the current market price action suggest a downside reversal. The RSI is pointing downward above the neutral threshold of 50, whereas the stochastic is flattening in overbought territory.
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Market Comment – Spotlight on NFP as dollar sinks; pound unmoved by Labour landslide

Dollar slips further ahead of crucial US jobs report Pound marginally higher as Labour crush the Tories in UK election Equities set to end week on a high note, Bitcoin keeps slumping Stakes are high as markets brace for soft NFP After a bit of a wobble last week, stock markets around the world are back in bullish mode following the weak ISM surveys for both manufacturing and services that bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates in September.
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Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, EURUSD

Gold cheers on weaker business data, but a break above 2,368 is still needed GBPUSD retains positive momentum as the UK election kicks off; eyes on 1.2770 EURUSD resumes recovery mode; aims for a close above 200-SMA
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Technical Analysis – Gold retains positive attitude

Gold picks up steam towards a key resistance region ahead of US Independence day Short-term bias is positive, but an extension above 2,352 is necessary ISM services PMI, ADP employment, FOMC meeting minutes on the agenda     Gold bulls returned with stronger positive momentum on Wednesday and hit an almost two-week high of 2,287. This came after Fed chairman Powell acknowledged progress on inflation and as investors awaited a slew of US data before the 4th of July holiday break.
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Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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Technical Analysis – Gold battles with descending trendline

Gold trades back and forth in the past few sessions Price fails to claim 50-day SMA and restrictive trendline Momentum indicators are neutral-to-bullish Gold has been under pressure lately following its break below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Although the price managed to find its feet at the lower end of the Ichimoku cloud, it has failed to jump back above the downward sloping trendline drawn from the all-time high of 2,450. Should the latest weakness persist, the pr
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Technical Analysis - Gold rebounds from near the lower end of its range

Gold bulls step in from near key support zone RSI and MACD suggest momentum is turning positive Advances within the current sideways range may be possible A dip below 2,290 could invite the bears back into the game Gold is trading higher today, after hitting support slightly above 2,290 on Wednesday. That zone has been acting as a strong support barrier since April, and it can also be seen as the lower boundary of a sideways range that’s been containing most of the price acti
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Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, USDJPY

Gold at risk of a bearish trend reversal below 2,285 GBPUSD extends its negative trajectory; 200-EMA in focus USDJPY tests intervention risks above 160 ahead of core PCE inflation data
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Besides commodities, volatility is heightened across the board - Volatility Watch

Yen crosses are very volatile as they approach intervention levels Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin follows suit Volatility in yen pairs has been elevated for the past few days as they have been trading within breathing distance from the levels that Japanese authorities were willing to defend in the recent past.
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Technical Analysis – Gold reverses back below 50-day SMA

Gold retreats after unsuccessful break above 50-day SMA The price extends its structure of lower highs Momentum indicators turn bearish Gold had been in a steady recovery from its recent one-month low, which led to the price closing above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) last Thursday. Despite the violation of that crucial hurdle, bullion reversed back lower after failing to jump above the upper end of the Ichimoku cloud.
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Technical Analysis – Gold flirts with upper Bollinger band

Gold consolidates within ascending channel 20- and 50-period SMA post bullish cross MACD and RSI head higher Gold prices have been developing within an upward sloping channel in the short-term view with strong resistance at 2,336 and the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at 2,345. The mid-level of the Bollinger band (20-period SMA) and the 50-period SMA posted a bullish crossover, and the technical oscillators are heading north.
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Volatility skyrockets in FX and stock markets - Volatility Watch

Euro and pound pairs are very volatile but for different reasons Volatility is extremely low in the commodity sphere US and global equities exhibit volatility jump, Bitcoin seems quiet Volatility in euro crosses has picked up as the region suffers from political instability following the EU elections and fears of a renewed debt crisis.
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Technical Analysis – Gold attempts to erase latest slump

Gold falls to its lowest level in a month But recovers some ground, eyeing 50-day SMA Oscillators improve but remain negatively tilted Gold has been experiencing a pullback from its all-time high of 2,450, breaking below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Although the price posted a fresh one-month low on June 7, it has been in a recovery mode since then as the bulls appear to have locked their gaze on the short-term SMA.
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Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, EURJPY

Gold trims gains after FOMC rate decision; at risk of bearish trend reversal below 2,290 GBPUSD closes below 1.2800 barrier despite hitting 3-month high EURJPY exhibits favorable attitude; next resistance at 170.78
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Volatility surges across the board – Volatility Watch

Forex pairs are very volatile after strong NFP report Volatility in gold and silver ticks up, oil swims in calm waters US equities exhibit volatility jump amid correction fears Volatility in dollar crosses has picked up as the stronger-than-expected NFP report dialed back rate cut expectations, while investors are bracing for the FOMC meeting and the CPI print later this week. Euro pairs are in a similar position after the EU elections sparked a wave of politically instabili
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Technical Analysis – Gold could be poised for a continuation lower

Gold violates bullish structure; prints a head and shoulders pattern Short-term risk is negative; confirmation signal awaited below 2,285   Gold has stabilized near May’s floor of 2,285 after losing more than 3.0% on Friday to mark its biggest daily loss in two years. The price’s current lackluster performance indicates a probable bearish continuation, given its drop below the 20- and 50-day SMAs and beneath the significant trendline zone at 2,325. The technical indicators al
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Market Comment – Dollar rallies on NFP, euro slips after EU vote

US nonfarm payrolls surge past expectations Dollar skyrockets as Fed rate cuts are scaled back Euro slips as Macron calls snap election in France S&P 500 pulls back after hitting new record high Strong jobs report fuels dollar’s engines The US dollar rallied against all its major counterparts on Friday and continued marching north against most of them on Monday, as Friday’s US employment report revealed that the world’s largest economy added a lot more jobs than expe
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Gold holds in trading range of 2,315-2,355 MACD and RSI have weak momentum Gold is moving sideways in the 4-hour chart within a trading range of 2,315-2,355 where the Bollinger bands also lie. The MACD oscillator is standing beneath the zero level and the RSI is heading south below the 50 level, both suggesting weak momentum in the short-term view.
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Volatility ticks up in commodity and stock markets – Volatility Watch

Forex pairs in a quiet mood despite upcoming rate decisions Volatility in oil skyrockets, gold swims in calm waters US equities exhibit volatility jump as they ease from record highs Euro/dollar and euro/pound volatilities have been in the middle of their 30-day range, even though markets are bracing for the first interest rate cut by the ECB since 2016 on its Thursday meeting.
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