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EURUSD

Nghiên cứu XM

Nghiên cứu XM - 5 giờ trước

Market Comment – Dollar slides on jobs data, Euro dips on French gridlock

US jobs data confirms bets of two Fed rate cuts Dollar slides ahead of Powell testimony, US CPI numbers Euro gaps down as French election results in hung parliament Wall Street at fresh records, gold jumps, oil pulls back US labor market shows signs of weakness The US dollar fell against all but one of its major counterparts on Friday, with the only exception being the Canadian dollar.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 6 giờ trướcBullish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD jumps above 200-day SMA

EURUSD advances after violation of restrictive trendline Reclaims both 50- and 200-day SMAs Oscillators suggest that bullish forces are strengthening  EURUSD has been attempting a recovery from its one-month low of 1.0666, with the price crossing above the downward sloping trendline in place since December 2023. After some volatile sessions, the pair managed to conquer both its 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs).
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Week Ahead – Round two of French elections, Powell testimony and US CPI

French parties race to block Le Pen’s RN Powell testifies before Senate Banking Committee US CPI data to shake Fed rate cut bets RBNZ to leave OCR untouched, focus on language   Euro traders keep gaze locked on French election Traders will be sitting on the edge of their seats on Sunday, in anticipation of Monday’s open and what market impact the second round of the French election will have.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 3 ngày trước

Market Comment – Spotlight on NFP as dollar sinks; pound unmoved by Labour landslide

Dollar slips further ahead of crucial US jobs report Pound marginally higher as Labour crush the Tories in UK election Equities set to end week on a high note, Bitcoin keeps slumping Stakes are high as markets brace for soft NFP After a bit of a wobble last week, stock markets around the world are back in bullish mode following the weak ISM surveys for both manufacturing and services that bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates in September.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 4 ngày trước

Midweek Technical Look – Gold, GBPUSD, EURUSD

Gold cheers on weaker business data, but a break above 2,368 is still needed GBPUSD retains positive momentum as the UK election kicks off; eyes on 1.2770 EURUSD resumes recovery mode; aims for a close above 200-SMA
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Nghiên cứu XM - 4 ngày trướcBullish

Technical Analysis – EURUSD holds above 200-period SMA

EURUSD continues the rebound off 1.0670 Price is bullish in near term Momentum oscillators are mixed EURUSD is finding strong support at the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) in the 4-hour chart near 1.0785. Also, the pair has been holding in an upside tendency after the bounce off 1.0670, with the MACD oscillator is holding above its trigger and zero lines.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 4 ngày trước

Market Comment – Dollar skids on ISM services dip, pound steady as UK votes

ISM services PMI points to unexpected contraction in June Treasury yields and dollar take a dive, but Wall Street rallies Pound in bullish mode as UK goes to the polls amid broader risk appetite September rate cut seen more likely Expectations of a September rate cut got another boost on Wednesday after the ISM services PMI fell into contractionary territory, adding to the growing signs of a slowing US economy.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 5 ngày trước

Market Comment – Market craves dovish Fedspeak as US stocks reach new highs

US stocks rally after Chairman Powell’s comments Focus on key US data today ahead of Thursday’s bank holiday Dovish ECB commentary to keep euro under pressure Dollar/yen rally continues US stocks rally after Powell’s comments The ECB-dominated forum held in Sintra, Portugal, managed to produce market-moving headlines for the Fed.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 6 ngày trước

Market Comment – Yen’s misery worsens, euro lower after CPI dip, dollar awaits Powell

Yen sinks to fresh 38-year low as officials refrain from verbal intervention Euro pares gains after CPI dip and French election uncertainty Dollar edges up on higher yields, but caution ahead of Powell comments Yen languishes at 38-year low    The Japanese yen ploughed a fresh 38-year low against its US counterpart on Tuesday, hitting 161.75 per dollar, amid ongoing doubts about the Bank of Japan’s ambition to normalize monetary policy and an unexpected pickup in US yields.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 6 ngày trước

Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Technical Analysis – EURUSD slides after bullish gap

EURUSD pulls back from 50-day SMA RSI and MACD still point up EURUSD opened with a bullish gap today after the French elections on Sunday but is currently trading near its opening level. The price stands beneath the 1.0720 resistance level, with an indication of recouping the gap. The RSI and the MACD are heading north beneath their mid-levels.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trướcNeutral

Technical Analysis – EURUSD gaps higher over potential French hung parliament

EURUSD surges after French far-right party wins first race with weaker majority Bullish bias expected to come above 1.0788; sellers could take control below 1.0670   EURUSD opened with a positive gap on Monday after Le Pen’s far right party dominated the first round of the election on Sunday with a smaller margin than analysts expected, increasing speculation that an absolute majority on July 7 might be a struggle for the Euro-sceptic party.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Market Comment – Euro breathes better but not out of the woods yet

European stock markets higher after French elections result Key euro area data today as the annual ECB forum starts Dollar on the back foot amidst a very busy week Yen remains under pressure Euro gains despite strong result from the National Rally party France’s National Rally party confirmed expectations by winning the highest level of support in the first round of the country’s parliamentary elections, ahead of the left-wing New Popular Front coalition and miles ahead
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

What can we expect from the ISM business PMIs next week? – Preview

ISM manufacturing PMI to tick higher; services PMI to lose some pace Business outlook could stay unchanged; rate cut forecasts will remain inflation-driven    EURUSD stays neutral after core PCE inflation; needs a strong rebound above 1.0885   What happened previously? Dollar traders will pay close attention to the US ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI readings for June due on Monday and Wednesday respectively at 14:00 GMT.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Week Ahead – French and UK elections on the horizon, US jobs report eyed too

France and UK go to the polls; will elections bring chaos or order? US payrolls report for June awaited as Fed hawks don’t budge Eurozone CPI, Fed minutes and ECB forum also on investors’ radar Macron’s gamble set to backfire Political risks came back to haunt the euro in June as the resurgence in popularity for far-right parties sparked jitters in financial markets.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Eurozone CPI report: further noise or a proper signal to cut rates again? – Preview

ECB members disagree about the rates outlook Key data releases including the June CPI figures A soft inflation report is unlikely to result in a dovish July ECB meeting Political risks keep the euro under pressure The ECB hawks are clearly upset It has been three weeks since the first ECB rate cut, and the situation feels very different to a traditional monetary policy easing cycle.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 1 tuần trước

Market Comment – Core PCE in focus ahead of French elections

Dollar gains after first presidential debate Focus today turns to core PCE inflation Yen slides, intervention risks rise French citizens head to the ballots on Sunday Trump election win bets support dollar The US dollar traded slightly lower against most of its major peers on Thursday, extending gains only against the yen and the franc.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trướcNeutral

Technical Analysis – EURUSD rises slightly up after the battle with 8-week low

EURUSD holds in sideways move SMAs create bearish crossovers MACD continues to head south EURUSD tested the previous low of 1.0665 on Wednesday, holding within a narrow range of 1.0665-1.0720. The 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs) posted a bearish crossover a few days after the death cross between the 20- and the 200-day SMAs, both hinting at more losses.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trước

Is France headed for political stalemate and how bad is this for the euro?

Far-right National Rally party maintains lead ahead of June 30 first round of votes But can it secure an absolute majority as left-wing alliance makes progress? A hung parliament might be the worst outcome for the euro France in political turmoil President Macron’s decision to call a snap legislative vote hot on the heels of the European elections came as a complete shock not only in France but also across Europe, not to mention for financial markets.
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Nghiên cứu XM - 2 tuần trước

Will the core PCE inflation persuade the Fed to cut rates? – Preview

US core PCE inflation index could resume downtrend Fed may ask more evidence before cutting interest rates EURUSD trades near key support zone. Is it time for an upside reversal?    Inflation could hit a new low in May Friday will see the release of the Fed’s favorite core PCE inflation measure at 12:30 GMT as the world’s largest central bank keeps looking for signs of sustained price stability around its 2.0% target almost a year after it paused its hiking cycle.
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