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Tin tức

Reuters - 2 giờ trước

Sterling threatening to better its 2024 high

BUZZ-COMMENT-Sterling threatening to better its 2024 high July 8 (Reuters) - Investors have backed the pound since last week's Labour party election win and coupled with surprisingly soft U.S. payroll data Friday GBP has gained 0.4% versus the dollar, bringing the 1.2894 March 8 and 2024 high into view. Sterling completed a seven-day uninterrupted bull run versus the dollar Friday and remains the best performing currency versus the U.S.
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Reuters - 3 giờ trước

Why EUR/USD is more likely to return to its range low

BUZZ-COMMENT-Why EUR/USD is more likely to return to its range low July 8 (Reuters) - There are good reasons to think EUR/USD's upside potential will be limited and more chance of it heading back toward the lower end of the long term range at 1.1240-1.0448 over coming months. While the French election may have avoided the fiscal disaster associated with a win for the far right National Rally (RN) , it has resulted in a hung parliament which will being its own problems for France and potentially,
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Reuters - 4 giờ trước

Pound touches three-week high vs euro after France vote

Pound touches three-week high vs euro after France vote LONDON, July 8 (Reuters) - The pound traded at a three-week high against the euro on Monday, after Sunday's election in France looked likely to result in a hung parliament that raises the risk of political gridlock in the euro zone's second-largest economy. In the UK, new Finance Minister Rachel Reeves will pledge on Monday to take "difficult decisions" to drive economic growth, including swift changes to unblock infrastructure and private
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Reuters - 3 ngày trước

FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX stability and risk appetite hit premium No surprise to see FX option implied volatility under broad based pressure as risk appetite and a weaker USD leave FX subdued within well worn ranges. U.S. holiday-thinned markets played their part, as did the passing of Friday's U.S. NFP data close to expectations. GBP/USD benefits from the weaker USD with negligible support from the landslide win for the Labour party in the UK election, which had been widely expected .
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Reuters - 3 ngày trước

Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks?

BUZZ-COMMENT-Are FX options signaling complacency over French election risks? July 5 (Reuters) - The FX volatility upon which FX options thrive is an unknown, yet key parameter of their premiums, so dealers use implied volatility - their best guess. But this bellwether for real FX volatility expectations has almost erased all of the additional risk premium it had accumulated before the first round the of the French election and opens questions about complacency before Sunday's deciding second-ro
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Reuters - 3 ngày trước

Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-Stand-out FX option strike expiries for the week ahead Adds link for July 5 FXO expiries to line 3 July 5 (Reuters) - The cash hedging of soon-to-expire FX option strikes can have a magnetic effect on FX price action and add to nearby support/resistance. There are some large strikes worth noting for Friday, July 5 , and for the week ahead.
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Reuters - 4 ngày trước

British assets gain, mid-cap stocks lead after Labour party election win

UPDATE 8-British assets gain, mid-cap stocks lead after Labour party election win UK mid-cap stocks jump after Labour's election victory Labour win seen as stability boost, gilts and pound strengthen Homebuilders among top gainers Recasts with stock market open, adds quotes and writes through By Amanda Cooper and Alun John LONDON, July 5 (Reuters) - British domestic-focussed mid-cap stocks were the biggest gainers on Friday after the centre-left Labour Party surged to a comprehensive win in a pa
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Reuters - 4 ngày trước

Pound steady after Labour set to win big in UK election

Pound steady after Labour set to win big in UK election Updates with quote, context LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - Britain's pound was steady on Thursday, after an exit poll indicated Keir Starmer's opposition Labour party was on track to win a massive majority in a general election . Sterling GBP=D3 was trading around $1.276, up 0.1% on the day, showing little change on levels seen before the exit polls.
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Reuters - 4 ngày trước

Sterling holds firm after UK exit polls show Labour to win election

Sterling holds firm after UK exit polls show Labour to win election LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - Britain's pound held steady on Thursday, after an exit poll indicated Keir Starmer's opposition Labour party was on track to win a massive majority in a general election. Sterling GBP=D3 was trading around $1.276, up 0.1% on the day, showing little change on levels seen before the exit polls.
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Reuters - 4 ngày trước

FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP

BUZZ-FX options wrap - AUD/USD 0.7000, JPY clues, UK election, cheap NFP The U.S. July 4 Independence Day holiday when combined with improved risk sentiment and the weaker dollar, has kept pressure on implied volatility on Thursday. Additional FX volatility premium for Friday's U.S. NFP data appears to be on the low side when comparing current overnight expiry implied volatility with prior levels, especially in EUR/USD .
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Reuters - 4 ngày trước

Pound gains on dollar as Britons vote in national election

Pound gains on dollar as Britons vote in national election By Alun John LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - The pound gained on Thursday against a broadly weaker dollar which was hurt by soft U.S. economic data, as Britons voted in a parliamentary election that investors hope will bring some stability to British politics. Opinion polls show Keir Starmer's centre-left Labour Party on course for a landslide victory over Prime Minister Rishi Sunaks's Conservatives, who have led the country for 14 often turb
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Reuters - 4 ngày trước

UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-UK election risk to GBP, according to FX options July 4 (Reuters) - Implied volatility gauges FX realised volatility expectations and is a key component of an FX option premium. Overnight expiry GBP related implied volatility now includes the UK election and is therefore a bellwether for related FX volatility risk. Overnight GBP/USD implied volatility has averaged 7.5 over recent sessions - a premium/break-even of 40 USD pips in either direction for a simple vanilla straddle.
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Reuters - 4 ngày trước

Bulk of GBP impact from UK election to stem from exit poll

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-Bulk of GBP impact from UK election to stem from exit poll Repeats with no changes July 4 (Reuters) - The UK will head to polls in just under a week, though compared to previous UK elections there is less uncertainty than usual about the outcome of the July 4 vote. Opinion polls have consistently shown that the Labour Party is set for a historic majority.
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Reuters - 5 ngày trước

FX options wrap - FX outlook, French risk, ZAR gains, yuan bets

BUZZ-FX options wrap - FX outlook, French risk, ZAR gains, yuan bets Implied volatility is under pressure in most of the major G10 currency pairs, which is consistent with low realised volatility within familiar FX ranges. The impending U.S. Thanksgiving holiday and better risk appetite/USD losses, are playing their part . Euro-related FX option premiums have almost fully retraced the significant gains that were made in the wake of the French election call in mid-June.
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Reuters - 5 ngày trước

Sterling set for fifth daily rise ahead of UK election

Sterling set for fifth daily rise ahead of UK election LONDON, July 3 (Reuters) - The pound rose on Wednesday, taking advantage of a softening in the dollar and a reading of business activity that showed growth in the British services sector cooled in June, but not by as much as initially forecast. The U.S. currency weakened against most others on Wednesday, bar the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan, after comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell the previous day reinforced expectations tha
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Reuters - 6 ngày trước

FX options wrap - Elections risk, billions, JPY hedge, yuan

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Elections risk, billions, JPY hedge, yuan While French election risk premiums have eased and UK election risk premiums are small, there's been a pick up in demand for USD call options since last weeks U.S. Presidential debate helped Trump's ratings. Euro related options have seen their volatility and EUR put over call premiums lowered since the first round of French election results.
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Reuters - 6 ngày trước

Sterling dented by one-two punch from dollar and euro

Sterling dented by one-two punch from dollar and euro LONDON, July 2 (Reuters) - The pound neared its lowest in almost two months against a robust dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. currency got a lift from a pop higher in Treasury yields, while the euro extended its modest rally over the last week. Investors in U.S. assets are contemplating the prospects of a second Donald Trump presidency, after President Joe Biden's faltering debate performance last week and Monday's Supreme Court ruling that the
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Reuters - 6 ngày trước

French election risk to euro, according to FX options

BUZZ-COMMENT-French election risk to euro, according to FX options July 2 (Reuters) - When the French election was first called on June 9, there was a significant increase in FX option premium to reflect the volatility and directional risk to the euro, and these premiums remain a reliable bellwether. Volatility is an unknown yet key component of an FX option premium, so dealers use implied volatility as a stand-in.
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Reuters - 1 tuần trước

FX options wrap - Election pricing, JPY fears, ZAR risk

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Election pricing, JPY fears, ZAR risk French elections have driven euro-related implied volatility to new long-term highs alongside EUR puts over call premiums on risk reversals, but there's been some relief selling after the first-round results. EUR/USD 1-month expiry implied volatility is back at 5.9 from 6.5 on Friday and a long-term peak at 7.75 in mid June.
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Reuters - 1 tuần trước

Sterling loses ground to euro after French election first round

Sterling loses ground to euro after French election first round By Harry Robertson LONDON, July 1 (Reuters) - The pound slipped against the euro on Monday as the single currency rallied on investor expectations that France's far right party might not secure an outright majority after winning the first round of a national election. The euro EURGBP=D3 was up 0.27% against the pound at 84.97 pence, climbing further away from a two-year low of 83.97 pence hit in mid-June.
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