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Q2 Earnings season: A strong test for stretched valuations – Stock News

Earnings parade unofficially starts on July 12 with major US banks S&P 500 profit growth forecast at 10.6% y/y, all eyes on tech results Asymmetric risks due to rosy valuations and optimistic earnings projections Stellar first half Undoubtedly, the US stock markets had another astonishing quarter and a roaring first half of the year as the US economy seems to be headed for a soft landing. It has been more than 21 months now since the stock market experienced a sizable correcti
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Could the post-UK elections market moves resemble 1997 and 2010?

Thursday's UK elections expected to bring political change Similar developments in both 1997 and 2010 weighed on the pound History points to a significant easing in pound volatility across the board Recent FTSE 100 performance matches the 2015 pre-election moves General election in sight The UK general election will be held this Thursday, July 4, the day that the US will be celebrating its 248th anniversary from the adoption of the Declaration of Independence.
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JP 225 index has been steadily rising in the short term On Tuesday,the price jumped to its highest since April 4 Momentum indicators are heavily skewed to the upside The JP 225 index (cash) had been trading without a clear direction in May and early June, fluctuating around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). More recently, the price broke above that crucial barrier and edged higher to a fresh three-month high this week.
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Technical Analysis – UK 100 index experiences pre-election decline

UK 100 index erases June’s recovery attempt as the UK election looms A break below 8,055 could worsen short-term outlook   The UK 100 stock index (cash) continues to suffer for the sixth consecutive trading day, extending its downleg aggressively to the critical support zone of 8,110 on Tuesday ahead of the election day on July 4. The index could not mark a new higher high above the key resistance area of 8,300 and the important resistance line from February 2022, increasing fears
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Yen volatility remains high as equities appear calmer – Volatility Watch

Euro/dollar volatility jumps after French elections Volatility in commodities eases, apart from oil Stock indices’ volatility falls ahead of key data releases Euro/dollar volatility has eased over the past week as the market is breathing slightly easier following Sunday’s French elections result. On the flip side, volatility in yen crosses remains extremely high as market participants continue to provoke the BoJ by pushing dollar/yen above the level that led to the end-April
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index charts a double top pattern

US 500 index pauses record rally around 5,520 Technical indicators signal more weakness ahead Sellers could take control below 5,395   The US 500 stock index (cash) opened on the negative side on Monday to test the 5,450 region, which seems to be the neckline of a bearish double top pattern. The RSI and the MACD cannot discount the possibility of a bearish continuation as the former has changed course to the downside after peaking in the overbought zone and the latter is steadil
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Technical Analysis – Will the US 100 stock index revisit the 20,000 mark?

US 100 index turns up, but it’s not out of the woods yet   Bulls need approval near 19,840 to renew record rally   The US 100 stock index started Thursday’s session on the right foot, extending its recent upturn to 19,848 after a short break on Wednesday. A close above Wednesday’s bar of 19,814 could pave the way for the 20,084-20,200 region, bounded by the ascending lines drawn from the beginning of the year.
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Technical Analysis – JP 225 extends rally to 2-month high

JP 225 index has been steadily advancing in the short term On Wednesday, price jumped to its highest since April 12 Momentum indicators are heavily skewed to the upside The JP 225 index (cash) had been trading without clear direction since early May, fluctuating around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). In the near term, the price broke above that crucial barrier and edged higher to a fresh two-month high.
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Tesla shares jump to highest level since April 26 Bulls violate restrictive trendline taken from July 2023 Momentum indicators improve drastically Tesla has been among the worst performing stocks of the S&P 500 in 2024, but lately it has started to show some signs of life. After a consolidation period, the price advanced above the downward sloping trendline that connects its lower highs from July 2023, leading to a fresh two-month high.
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Nvidia rebounds as investors seem eager to buy the AI dip – Stock Markets

Nvidia erases a significant part of its 3-day slide Investors are bullish as AI keeps delivering earnings Subdued volatility hints low odds of a broader correction   Nvidia’s roller coaster ride moves markets The last few days have been eventful for the US stock market mainly because of Nvidia’s volatile moves. The AI darling lost over $430 billion in market capitalisation in three successive sessions starting from last Thursday, marking the largest three-day loss in the sto
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Nvidia’s stock drifts lower after peaking in the 140 area Technical signals confirm overbought conditions; next support at 126 Long-term outlook positive above 109.85   Nvidia’s stock closed Thursday’s session sharply lower at 130.24 after stretching its record rally to 140.29. There was no serious headwind behind the decline, which feeds speculation that traders probably decided to lock some profits near the 140 psychological mark.
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What’s the outlook for European stocks? – Stock Markets

European stock markets tremble on political turmoil Fears of a potential debt crisis further darken outlook Strong US economy and tech dominance emerge as headwinds   Markets dislike uncertainty European equity markets took a hard beating in the aftermath of the European Parliamentary elections, which showed an overall rise in far-right parties’ popularity.
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Technical Analysis – US 500 index eases after the climb to new high

US 500 index calms near the 261.8% Fibonacci extension level RSI and Stochastics are flattening The US 500 (cash) index has been moving with weak momentum over the last couple of sessions after the surge towards a new record peak of 5,449.73, holding near the 261.8% Fibonacci extension level of the up leg from 4,924 to 4,100 at 5,425.    The market is looking overstretched as the technical oscillators are moving horizontally near their overbought territories.
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Stock markets and football sometimes mix well

The 2024 European Football Championship starts today History points to strong stock market performance for the host country Major sporting events held in the eurozone could boost growth ECB to monitor consumer sentiment more closely With the market digesting the latest developments, it is time for football on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean.
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Apple breaks long-term range to mark record high within 200 territory Short-term steep rally could take a breather as overbought signals strengthen   On Tuesday, Apple unveiled its own AI tools, propelling its stock to uncharted territory. Weaker-than-expected US CPI inflation data added fresh impetus to the stock on Wednesday, extending the rally above the resistance line, which connects the 2021 and 2023 highs, and towards an all-time high of 220. The stock’s gains were trimme
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Can stocks keep defying gravity? – Stock Markets

US stock indices sail towards successive record highs Hawkish Fed doesn’t scare bulls as volatility remains inexistent Valuations are historically stretched but earnings keep growing   High after high All major US indices are having an astonishing year, recording consecutive all-time highs as the economy seems more and more likely to achieve a soft-landing.
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JP 225 index has been rangebound in the past month But has violated 50-day SMA and has advanced in latest sessions Momentum indicators are skewed to the upside The JP 225 index (cash) has been trading without clear direction since early May, fluctuating around its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). In the near term, the price broke above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA), with the short-term oscillators indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
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Technical Analysis – Tesla stock stuck below restrictive trendline

Tesla shares trade sideways in the past few sessions Momentum indicators suggest a cautiously negative tone Tesla is still among the worst performing stocks of the S&P 500 in 2024, even though it has gained more than 20% from its recent low. In the short term, the price has been trading within a range, but the momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces are strengthening.
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Could stronger US data force a Fed rate cut?

Markets crave weaker US data to support their rate cut expectations Strong data this week could cause an acute market reaction The Fed might find it easier to act if financial stability is under threat The key question in the market participants’ minds is when the Fed is going to start easing its monetary policy stance. The year started with the market pricing in at least five rate cuts by the Fed in 2024, but with inflation remaining above 3% since July 2023, expectations have t
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US 100 index edges higher, not far from its all-time high Volatility drops ahead of some key US data Momentum indicators could be turning bearish The US 100 cash index is in the green again today, trading a tad below its recent all-time high of 18,494 and recouping a good part of last week’s losses. Monday’s weak US data prints have boosted expectations for a Fed rate cut ahead of the November elections, with the US stock indices now focusing on Friday’s labour market data.
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