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Market Comment – Spotlight on NFP as dollar sinks; pound unmoved by Labour landslide

Dollar slips further ahead of crucial US jobs report Pound marginally higher as Labour crush the Tories in UK election Equities set to end week on a high note, Bitcoin keeps slumping Stakes are high as markets brace for soft NFP After a bit of a wobble last week, stock markets around the world are back in bullish mode following the weak ISM surveys for both manufacturing and services that bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting rates in September.
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Market Comment – Dollar skids on ISM services dip, pound steady as UK votes

ISM services PMI points to unexpected contraction in June Treasury yields and dollar take a dive, but Wall Street rallies Pound in bullish mode as UK goes to the polls amid broader risk appetite September rate cut seen more likely Expectations of a September rate cut got another boost on Wednesday after the ISM services PMI fell into contractionary territory, adding to the growing signs of a slowing US economy.
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Market Comment – Market craves dovish Fedspeak as US stocks reach new highs

US stocks rally after Chairman Powell’s comments Focus on key US data today ahead of Thursday’s bank holiday Dovish ECB commentary to keep euro under pressure Dollar/yen rally continues US stocks rally after Powell’s comments The ECB-dominated forum held in Sintra, Portugal, managed to produce market-moving headlines for the Fed.
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Market Comment – Yen’s misery worsens, euro lower after CPI dip, dollar awaits Powell

Yen sinks to fresh 38-year low as officials refrain from verbal intervention Euro pares gains after CPI dip and French election uncertainty Dollar edges up on higher yields, but caution ahead of Powell comments Yen languishes at 38-year low    The Japanese yen ploughed a fresh 38-year low against its US counterpart on Tuesday, hitting 161.75 per dollar, amid ongoing doubts about the Bank of Japan’s ambition to normalize monetary policy and an unexpected pickup in US yields.
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Market Comment – Euro breathes better but not out of the woods yet

European stock markets higher after French elections result Key euro area data today as the annual ECB forum starts Dollar on the back foot amidst a very busy week Yen remains under pressure Euro gains despite strong result from the National Rally party France’s National Rally party confirmed expectations by winning the highest level of support in the first round of the country’s parliamentary elections, ahead of the left-wing New Popular Front coalition and miles ahead
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Market Comment – Core PCE in focus ahead of French elections

Dollar gains after first presidential debate Focus today turns to core PCE inflation Yen slides, intervention risks rise French citizens head to the ballots on Sunday Trump election win bets support dollar The US dollar traded slightly lower against most of its major peers on Thursday, extending gains only against the yen and the franc.
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Market Comment – Dollar rises to a 38-year high against yen

Dollar rises as investors digest Fed remarks Dollar/yen breaks 160, triggers intervention warnings Wall Street trades in the green, AI still the main driver To cut or not to cut in September? The US dollar traded higher against all its major counterparts on Wednesday, gaining the most ground against the Japanese yen. Today, the greenback is stabilizing or pulling back.
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Market Comment – Stocks’ asthmatic reaction keeps dollar in demand

US stocks edge higher amidst quiet newsflow French elections are around the corner Aussie and loonie benefit from hotter CPI reports Yen remains under pressure Dollar records small gains against the euro The US dollar is trying to find its footing as the market prepares for Thursday’s presidential debate between Trump and Biden and Friday’s PCE inflation report.
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Market Comment – Busier calendar could support the dollar  

Richer US data calendar and Fedspeak today US stocks in the red again; uptrend intact Key inflation reports from both Canada and Australia Yen shows signs of life but still close to intervention level Dollar remains on the back foot The US dollar remains under pressure against the euro despite the relatively quiet newsflow. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee maintained his relatively dovish stance yesterday with the market focusing more on comments from San Francisco Fed Preside
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Market Comment – Dollar headed for third weekly gains as stock rally cools

Dollar stands tall after SNB cut and BoE’s dovish hold Yen enters intervention zone as Japan’s underlying inflation falls Euro slips on weak PMIs, US PMIs next in focus Nasdaq tumbles as Nvidia hit by profit taking ahead of triple witching Fed cut hopes not enough to dent the dollar The US dollar looks set to finish the week higher, extending its winning streak to a third week.
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Market Comment – Fedspeak and US data could prop up the dollar

Back in action with a full US data calendar and Fedspeak BoE meets but unlikely to produce headlines SNB cuts rates and remains willing to intervene in FX markets Yen underperforms as Japanese officials remain quiet Dollar remains on the back foot The rare mid-week day-off in the US is over with the market mostly preparing for tomorrow’s key release of the preliminary PMI surveys, which are critical for the euro area.
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Market Comment - Wall Street sets another record after soft US retail sales

Risk appetite buoyed by signs of weakening US consumption Wall Street closes at record highs ahead of US holiday, oil also rallies Pound edges up as services CPI remains sticky despite drop in headline September rate cut hopes get a boost US retail sales fell short of expectations on Tuesday, in another sign that consumers in America have started to rein in their spending.
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Market Comment – Fedspeak and US retail sales could test dollar’s resilience

Fedspeak could prove market-moving this week Retail sales could surprise on the downside RBA members discussed again to hike rates Dollar still in charge but aussie rallies Fed speakers to move the market again? Amidst a holiday-shortened week, Fed speakers will be out in force, and it will be interesting to see if the hawks adopt an even more aggressive rhetoric.
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Market Comment – Euro extends losses on French election jitters

Euro hits 6-week low as risk premium for French debt jumps But equities mixed as selloff eases Trio of central bank decisions eyed Euro rocked by fresh fears of a debt crisis Concerns about the real risk of a far-right government in France continue to dog the euro after they resurfaced towards the end of last week. Having shed more than 1% so far in June, the euro is struggling to hold on to the $1.07 level on Monday and is currently trading at more than six-week lows.
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Market Comment – Dollar higher, yen under pressure but stocks feel good

Yen suffers from BoJ's inactivity Dollar recovers from Wednesday’s underperformance US stock indices’ euphoria continues BoJ meeting held no surprises The yen is under pressure again today as the Bank of Japan kept its interest rate unchanged and decided to trim its bond buying programme but postponed the announcement of the new size of bond purchases until the July meeting.
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Market Comment – Fed stops dollar’s CPI-related bleed, BoJ next

Dollar tumbles after weaker-than-expected CPI data Recovers somewhat after Fed signals one rate cut BoJ decision looms as investors bet on July hike US CPI data propels Wall Street to fresh records Inflation slows, Fed sees one rate cut in 2024 After a turbulent session, the US dollar finished lower against all its major counterparts on Wednesday.
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Market Comment – Traders lock gaze on US inflation and Fed decision

Dollar awaits US CPI data and Fed projections Euro still feels the heat of EU elections Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit fresh records ahead of Fed US CPI data and Fed to rock the boat The US dollar traded mixed on Tuesday, extending its gains against the euro, the yen and the franc, but losing some ground versus the kiwi and the pound. Today, the greenback seems to be stabilizing against most of its peers as traders may have adopted a more cautious stance ahead of today’s US CPI data
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Market Comment – Market prepares for Wednesday’s events

Euro tries to recoup part of Monday’s losses US stock indices trade sideways but volatility remains high Lighter US calendar but some interest on the 10-year bond auction Pound is on the backfoot after the weaker jobs data Euro tries to recover from Monday’s drop The euro remains on the backfoot following Sunday’s European election results.
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Market Comment – Dollar rallies on NFP, euro slips after EU vote

US nonfarm payrolls surge past expectations Dollar skyrockets as Fed rate cuts are scaled back Euro slips as Macron calls snap election in France S&P 500 pulls back after hitting new record high Strong jobs report fuels dollar’s engines The US dollar rallied against all its major counterparts on Friday and continued marching north against most of them on Monday, as Friday’s US employment report revealed that the world’s largest economy added a lot more jobs than expe
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Market Comment – Dollar trades sideways ahead of NFP

ECB cuts rates but outlook remains unclear Market is focusing on the US labour market data Weaker prints could open the door to a dovish Fed meeting Stock markets could suffer if there is an upside surprise today ECB cuts rates but the outlook remains unclear The ECB confirmed the overwhelming expectations and announced a 25bps rate cut on Thursday.
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